Wednesday, August 1, 2012
Building From Mistakes
Or expoliting sins.
How to build a case from mistakes. Or how to frame someone "without breaking the law". Impossbile would say some, but a big organization can instruct its people to commit small intentional coverable hard to detect "mistakes" in regards to a single individual in order to frame him. Every time a "mistake" is discovered is being fallen back on the previously carefully designed cover or in rare cases declared as such. Almost impossible to prove anything if well designed. Some mistakes can even have dual or multiple purposes.
That doesn't mean no law was broken. If the law means anything for such organization. And then all it remains is pointing fingers and punish and the punishment will be guilt proving but not correcting and being mostly illicit, provocative and grounds for new framings and restarting the cycle. The "public" illicit surveillance that doesn't function always because it's improvised and can be edited in real time or with a delay and can be active part of causing restarting the cycle if conducted "right".
If anything can be proven of the described scheme there will be small unrelated parts of it but with high price and generating new understandable novice's mistakes in the process. And those new mistakes will be analyzed in real time by supercomputers and integreted in the bigger picture.
The other part of the job is being done by the uninvited observer's wrong assumptions.
If you choose to stick your nose in somebody else's life you can be passive or active part of it and in the end, you'll still pay the admittance ticket to the show.
It is the past and the future of sociology that happens today my friends.
In most games you can win both by being better and by other's mistakes. But some people have no choice like new immigrants or other categories to be passive and some specialize only in nurturing and winning by adversary's mistakes.
One little thing i forgot here. How they can integrate and synchronize in real time two people's activities. The activities of two rather relaxed people can be interrupted in restarted in certain moments by distractions or triggers in such ways that their activities can influence each other and synergize in order to create a false impression, of course by using again, supercomputers. And of course they can have their own people that are remotely instructed of what to do and interfere without actually making contact with the subjects or the impressions a third party would have on the whole.
How to build a case from mistakes. Or how to frame someone "without breaking the law". Impossbile would say some, but a big organization can instruct its people to commit small intentional coverable hard to detect "mistakes" in regards to a single individual in order to frame him. Every time a "mistake" is discovered is being fallen back on the previously carefully designed cover or in rare cases declared as such. Almost impossible to prove anything if well designed. Some mistakes can even have dual or multiple purposes.
That doesn't mean no law was broken. If the law means anything for such organization. And then all it remains is pointing fingers and punish and the punishment will be guilt proving but not correcting and being mostly illicit, provocative and grounds for new framings and restarting the cycle. The "public" illicit surveillance that doesn't function always because it's improvised and can be edited in real time or with a delay and can be active part of causing restarting the cycle if conducted "right".
If anything can be proven of the described scheme there will be small unrelated parts of it but with high price and generating new understandable novice's mistakes in the process. And those new mistakes will be analyzed in real time by supercomputers and integreted in the bigger picture.
The other part of the job is being done by the uninvited observer's wrong assumptions.
If you choose to stick your nose in somebody else's life you can be passive or active part of it and in the end, you'll still pay the admittance ticket to the show.
It is the past and the future of sociology that happens today my friends.
In most games you can win both by being better and by other's mistakes. But some people have no choice like new immigrants or other categories to be passive and some specialize only in nurturing and winning by adversary's mistakes.
One little thing i forgot here. How they can integrate and synchronize in real time two people's activities. The activities of two rather relaxed people can be interrupted in restarted in certain moments by distractions or triggers in such ways that their activities can influence each other and synergize in order to create a false impression, of course by using again, supercomputers. And of course they can have their own people that are remotely instructed of what to do and interfere without actually making contact with the subjects or the impressions a third party would have on the whole.
Băsescu vodă cel nebun
(Un mic eseu despre simbolism)
Băsescu şi ai lui: L'état, c'est moi! Après moi, le déluge!
Împreună cu al său ministru suveran Ponta, cu al său Ioan Rus şi chiar cu temporalul Antontescu, al cărui nume vine din trecut şi sună şi futuristic în acelaş timp, au adus ţara pe noi culmi ale ruşinii şi care după tot ce au făcut ne fac pe toţi să credem că România nu mai poate exista fără ei. Am devenit toţi şantajabili în iluziile noastre.
Am ajuns acum să regretăm chiar şi vremurile când România era condusă de înaintemergătorul actualul puşcăriaş Nasty cu sau fără ouă care totuşi ne număra pe noi corect la referendumuri. Naivitatea se plăteşte dar vina sa cea mai mare a fost că ne-a făcut să înţelegem de unde vine pseudonimul unei cunoscute dive americane. A şi l-a arestat şi pe Bivolaru. Sau puşcăria e poate doar o versiune de asigurat securitatea personală mai ieftină, ca probabil în cazul Anei Maria Vlas.
Iar restul zilelor noastre, care începe azi, după o cunoscută expresie americană, depinde numai de imaginaţia lor, a celor fără ruşine care de fapt nu au altă treabă decât să proiecteze visele lor diurne asupra noastră.
Toghether with his minister suveran Ponta, with his Ioan Rus and even with the temporal Antonescu whose name comes from the past and sounds so fu-turistic in the same time, they brought our country on new levels of shame and after all they've made us all believe that Romania can not exist anymore without them. We became all blackmailable in our illusions.
We came to regret even the times when Romania was lead by their forruner current jailbird Nastase with or without balls, who was counting us though correctly at referendums. The naivety costs but his biggest mistake was to reveal to us all the meaning of a well known American diva Nick name. And he arrested Bivolaru too. Or maybe jail in this case is just a cheaper way to ensure his security, like probably in the case of Ana Maria Vlas.
And the rest of our lives that begins today, according to a well known American expression, depends only of the above mentioned's imagination, of the ones without shame or honor, that have no other job but to project their daydreams over us.
Băsescu şi ai lui: L'état, c'est moi! Après moi, le déluge!
Împreună cu al său ministru suveran Ponta, cu al său Ioan Rus şi chiar cu temporalul Antontescu, al cărui nume vine din trecut şi sună şi futuristic în acelaş timp, au adus ţara pe noi culmi ale ruşinii şi care după tot ce au făcut ne fac pe toţi să credem că România nu mai poate exista fără ei. Am devenit toţi şantajabili în iluziile noastre.
Am ajuns acum să regretăm chiar şi vremurile când România era condusă de înaintemergătorul actualul puşcăriaş Nasty cu sau fără ouă care totuşi ne număra pe noi corect la referendumuri. Naivitatea se plăteşte dar vina sa cea mai mare a fost că ne-a făcut să înţelegem de unde vine pseudonimul unei cunoscute dive americane. A şi l-a arestat şi pe Bivolaru. Sau puşcăria e poate doar o versiune de asigurat securitatea personală mai ieftină, ca probabil în cazul Anei Maria Vlas.
Iar restul zilelor noastre, care începe azi, după o cunoscută expresie americană, depinde numai de imaginaţia lor, a celor fără ruşine care de fapt nu au altă treabă decât să proiecteze visele lor diurne asupra noastră.
Toghether with his minister suveran Ponta, with his Ioan Rus and even with the temporal Antonescu whose name comes from the past and sounds so fu-turistic in the same time, they brought our country on new levels of shame and after all they've made us all believe that Romania can not exist anymore without them. We became all blackmailable in our illusions.
We came to regret even the times when Romania was lead by their forruner current jailbird Nastase with or without balls, who was counting us though correctly at referendums. The naivety costs but his biggest mistake was to reveal to us all the meaning of a well known American diva Nick name. And he arrested Bivolaru too. Or maybe jail in this case is just a cheaper way to ensure his security, like probably in the case of Ana Maria Vlas.
And the rest of our lives that begins today, according to a well known American expression, depends only of the above mentioned's imagination, of the ones without shame or honor, that have no other job but to project their daydreams over us.
Sunday, July 29, 2012
Referendum
Grafice cu prezenţa din datele publicate până acum:
Sursă: http://www.cotidianul.ro/prezenta-la-vot-la-referendum-pana-la-ora-1700-189938/
"Populaţia stabilă a României este de 19 milioane de persoane, potrivit rezultatelor provizorii de la Recensământul Populaţiei şi Locuinţelor, făcute publice de Institutul Naţional de Statistică (INS), în scădere cu 2,5 milioane de persoane faţă de recensământul din 2002.
Dintre aceştia, 18,34 de milioane de oameni erau prezenţi în ţară la momentul recensământului iar 658.000 de persoane erau temporar plecate. Plecaţi pe perioadă îndelungată sunt oficial 910.000 de români, în vreme ce 300.000 de conaţionali erau doar temporar prezenţi."
"The stable population of Romania is about 19 million persons, according the the temporary results of the census done by Institutul Naţional de Statistică (INS) (in 2011), less 2.5 million persons since the 2002 census.
Of these, 18.34 millions where in the country during census and .68 where abroad. Officially on long term there are .91 million Romanians abroad while .3 where temporary present."
http://www.jurnalul.ro/economia/recensamant-2011-e-oficial-populatia-romaniei-a-scazut-sub-20-de-milioane-603177.htm
http://www.recensamantromania.ro/rezultate-2/
Oops. Deci Institulul Naţional de Statistică nu a publicat pe site rezultatele finale ale recensămânului. Deci luăm de bună ce spune Jurnalul Naţional. Deci dacă sunt în ţară 18,37 milioane de români şi 0,658 plecaţi de unde 18.292.514 români cu drept de vot?
Să zicem că populaţia este egal repartizată pe vărste între 0 şi 70 ani, până la 18 ani sunt 25% deci din 19 milioane adică 4.75. Nu înţeleg.
Oops. Institutul National de Statistică did not publicized on its site the final results of the 2011 census. If we believe what Jurnalul National says, there are in Romania 18.37 million citizen and 0.658 million abroad, where do we take from 18.29 million with right to vote?
Let's say the population is equally divided on groups of ages between 0 and 70, then between 0 and 18 there are 70/18*19.3=4.75. I don't understand.
"Ministrul Administraţiei şi Internelor, Ioan Rus, a anunţat, marţi, că numărul total al cetăţenilor cu drept de vot este de 18.292.514"
"The Minister of Interior, Ioan Rus anounced tuesday that the total number of citizens with right to vote is 18.292.514"
http://www.gandul.info/news/rus-numarul-total-al-cetatenilor-cu-drept-de-vot-este-de-18-292-514-9899590
Hai să zicem că a scăzut natalitatea şi de fapt între 0 şi 18 ani nu sunt 4,75 milioane ci doar jumătate, adică 2,375 milioane şi tot un iese. Cum zic ei ar însemna ca între 0 şi 18 ani sunt doar 18,37 + 0,658 - 18,29 adică 19,02 - 18,29 adică 0.73 milioane de cetăţeni români între 0 şi 18 ani ceea ce ar însemna că în ultimii 18 ani în Romania s-au născut şi din aceştia au supravieţuit numai 0,73 milioane. Dar dacă ţinem cont de faptul că populaţia României a scăzut în ultimii 18 ani cu 3 milioane şi jumătate iar mortalitatea a fost cam aceeaşi rezultă că natalitatea a scăzut doar la o treime. Asta ar însemna că sunt cam 1,25 milioane de români între vârsta 0 şi 18 şi nu 0,73 ce ar însemna o reducere a natalităţii de 7 ori.
Căci natalitatea este cam egală cu mortalitatea la o ţară care în ultimii zeci de ani înainte de 1994 a avut o populaţie relativ constantă. Deci într-o perioadă de 18 ani un sfert din populaţia României, adică aprox 5 milioane, se schimbă. Dar dacă a scăzut numai cu 3,5 milioane, înseamnă că s-au mai născut 1,25.
Acum încep să înţeleg de ce nu s-a publicat pe site-ul de mai sus rezultatele finale ale recensământului.
Nu sunt statistician de meserie dar oricine poate înţelege că grupa de vărsta 0-18 are rata mortalităţii cea mai mică din toate grupele de vârstă. Nu se poate compara de ex cu grupa de vârsta 52-70. Logic. Deci probabil mai mult de un sfert din populaţia unei ţări cu o evoluţie demografică normală este cuprinsă în această vârstă.
Dar hai să punem problema altfel. În Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependent_territories_by_birth_rate rata natalităţii României este la poziţia 180 din 221 cu 10 naşteri la 1000 locuitori în fiecare an. Asta înseamnă 10.000 naşteri la un milion şi 190.000 naşteri la 19 milioane, deci în 18 ani s-au născut 3.420.000 români, cazul cel mai defavorabil. (rata natalităţii precum şi populaţia a fost şi mai mare în această perioadă). Fără drept de vot. Dar acum îmi veni în minte altă întrebare, de ce a scăzut atât de mult populaţia României, un răspuns ar fi sunt mai mulţi plecaţi în străinătate decât sunt declaraţi în recensământ, sau o catastrofă demografică fără precedent, de care cei care au guvernat în ultimii ani nu pot să nu spună că nu sunt responsabili.
Let's say that birth rate decreased and in fact there are not 4,75 millions between 0 and 18 but only half, that is 2.375. According to the Minister of Interior, it would mean that between the age of 0 and 18 there are 18.37 + 0.65 - 18.29 that is 19,28 - 18.29 = 0.738 million citizens between the ages of 0 and 18, that is a reduction of birth rate way too big in the last 18 years compared to the year 1994. But the population of Romania decreased in the last 18 years with 3.5 millions and if the death rate stayed about the same that would mean that birth rate only decreased with one third that would mean there are about 1.25 million Romanians between the age of 0 and 18. not 0.73.
And that is because in Romania the birth rate was about equal with death rate in the last decades.
They were 22,760,449 Romanians in Romania in 1992, the closest number i could find in Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Romania#Demographics It is reasonable to assume using the decrease rate calculated from that table that in 1994 they where about 22.5 millions.
But let's put this in a different way. In Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_birth_rate Romania is on position 180 of 221 with 10 births per 1000 inhabitants every year. That means 10,000 births to 1 million and 190.000 at 19 millions, thus in 18 years have been born 3.420.000 Romanian, worst case scenario (Population was more than 19 million and birth rate was bigger than 10). Without right to vote.
Friday, July 27, 2012
"Pour... Les... Roumains..."
I swear this one was the first that came when i did a google search/videos on terms Cliff Hanger... I think my computer might have been bewitched... It's too tempting, i'm gone post it... Anyways how long am i supposed to keep playing villain @here?
God the times when i was watching Cliff Hanger on Cartoon Network... Were they from another life? Must have been cause now i can't even afford cable... Or have a job...