Tuesday, July 15, 2025

First Trump Assassination Attempt Analysis

At the time i wrote in a couple of posts but i am not proud of what i did, making mistakes and missing lots of things while also marking a few points. Here is another attempt to clear things up. Let's start with analysis of the most iconic pictures.

There is not much to say. It all looks like a group hug with the woman lowering head so Trump can be seen by cameras. Secret Service agents with black glasses though they could not see much through those were looking straight at the camera. The only thing they did not do for the picture to be perfect was say cheese.

Trump himself acts like an actor, ignoring common sense pretty much like Kennedy did not tuck after the first bullet whistled close to his head since they could not be sure if there was only one shooter, because they did not know about the first in the first place. The skillful photographer caught the flag right in the background.


Secret Service Agents returning fire at the shooter which means he was in their line of sight which means they could have seen him on the roof where they were positioned from the beginning. One of the guns or scope seem to have barcode labels from unpacking still attached.   
"One of the spectators" shot video of the sniper who was 130 meters away from the group of spectators before the shooting but Secret Service did not see him. That video is not available anymore.

Apparently the gunman used an AR15 with no scope which cannot compensate for bad eyesight as he was using glasses.

As for the blood on Trump's ear? In this video Trump is looking on the right side for about 8 seconds before the first shot with right ear placed coincidentally out of sight. It takes him about 1 second to raise his hand at his right ear after the shot is heard, time in which his ear must have been full of blood yet his hand is clean after (second 9). He only appears with blood on his ear after he ducked.

Though people are yelling, they do not seem to be willing to move away from the stage, they froze on place (needed to witness Trump's triumph gesture where again no blood can be seen on his hand). At second 37 one can hear clearly the Secret Service commands "move, move" over the noise of the whole crowd though they were well away from the microphone (and they did not move).

To navigate in any youtube video. Space key, stop/start. Arow keys to advance 5 seconds back and forth. < and > keys (lower and greater, right on "m" on alpha keyboard) to move one frame only.


But there's also something about the angles. Bullets must have flown parallel with the stage and direction of Trump's head (otherwise would have hit more than his ear) yet spectators appear behind him.
Retired FBI special agent Michael Harrigan said bullet caught in this image went past Trump's head so the bullet came from his front. For that to happen he should have looked left or in the direction of the shooter. Unless he was speaking with his back towards the crowd.

An AR 15 bullet speed at 100 meters is 2700 feet per second or Mach 2.4. At that speed, the bullet alone passing close to his ear should have produce a shockwave that would have ruptured his eardrum.

The momentum transmitted from the bullet to the cartilage of the ear would have moved his head a little and/or create a shockwave at the surface of the skin. Fragments of the cartilage could have flown with the bullet.

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